Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $60.03 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $135 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +35% if it rises |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $65.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 137% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 119% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $107 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | ▲ 8.3% | — | 127% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 110% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $127 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $146 $150 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $155 | — | — | 57% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Haut Bages Liberal Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $92.73 $303 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.73 $179 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $464 $756 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 79% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 $570 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | 127% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $432 $640 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | 0.0% | — | 156% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Hosanna Pomerol 2017 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $75.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau L'Eglise Clinet Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 635% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Eglise Clinet Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 648% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Eglise Clinet Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $141 $470 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 771% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $201 $336 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $380 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.93 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 325% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 $265 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 288% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $106 $330 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 369% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $72.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $43.53 $83.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $77.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | ▲ 8.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau La Mission Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 505% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Mission Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $530 | 0.0% | — | 609% premium | 1% |
| Chateau La Pointe Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $75.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $2,430 | ▲ 10.5% | — | 249% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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