Cellar Index
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Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2022

red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml · 2022 vintage · tracked since Q2 2025

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$2,430
6 quarters on record · 1 list-price change · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
▲ 10.5%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
3% chance of a rise
typically +35% · 3% chance of a cut (typically -20%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$2,430 ($2,430–$2,430)3%
Q2 2027$2,430 ($2,430–$2,430)3%
Q1 2027$2,430 ($2,430–$2,430)3%
Q4 2026$2,430 ($2,430–$2,430)2%
Q3 2026$2,430
Q2 2026$2,430
Q1 2026$2,430
Q4 2025$2,430
Q3 2025$2,200
Q2 2025$2,200

Chance the list price will differ from today's $2,430

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
2%
1%
Q1 2027
3%
1%
Q2 2027
3%
3%
Q3 2027
3%
3%
Fair price
$697
Comparable wines cost $178–$1,171 (80% range). At $2,430 it carries a 249% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2032–2057
Opens in 6 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Bordeaux
Next vintage (2023) vs this one
24% chance priced higher
Typical change -3% (80% range -21.1% to 14.7%) · 65% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.

Promotion

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).