Cellar Index
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Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2021

red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · 2021 vintage · tracked since Q4 2023

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$29.93 $107 Clearance
12 quarters on record · 1 list-price change · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +35% · 0% chance of a cut (typically -24%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$107 ($107–$107)<1%
Q2 2027$107 ($107–$107)<1%
Q1 2027$107 ($107–$107)<1%
Q4 2026$107 ($107–$107)<1%
Q3 2026$107$29.93
Q2 2026$107$29.93
Q1 2026$107$29.93
Q4 2025$107
Q3 2025$107
Q2 2025$107
Q1 2025$76.99
Q4 2024$76.99
Q3 2024$76.99
Q2 2024$76.99
Q1 2024$76.99
Q4 2023$76.99

Chance the list price will differ from today's $107

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$55.34
Comparable wines cost $41.22–$70.28 (80% range). At $107 it carries a 93% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2031–2056
Opens in 5 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Bordeaux

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2023Listed now$120—4%
2022Listed now$130▲ 8.3%2%
2021 (this page)Listed now$29.93 $107 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2020Listed now$35.93 $120 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2019Listed now$99.99 0.0%<1%
2018Listed now$38.73 $130 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2017Q4 2022$110 0.0%—
2015Q2 2021$84.99 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).