Cellar Index
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Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2023

red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · 2023 vintage · tracked since Q3 2026

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$120
1 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
—
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
4% chance of a rise
typically +35% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -13%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$120 ($120–$120)4%
Q2 2027$120 ($120–$120)3%
Q1 2027$120 ($120–$120)2%
Q4 2026$120 ($120–$120)1%
Q3 2026$120

Chance the list price will differ from today's $120

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
1%
<1%
Q1 2027
2%
<1%
Q2 2027
3%
<1%
Q3 2027
4%
<1%
Fair price
$57.20
Comparable wines cost $40.56–$73.12 (80% range). At $120 it carries a 110% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2033–2058
Opens in 7 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Bordeaux
Next vintage (2024) vs this one
10% chance priced higher
Typical change -26.9% (80% range -35.6% to 13.1%) · 80% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2023 (this page)Listed now$120—4%
2022Listed now$130▲ 8.3%2%
2021Listed now$29.93 $107 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2020Listed now$35.93 $120 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2019Listed now$99.99 0.0%<1%
2018Listed now$38.73 $130 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2017Q4 2022$110 0.0%—
2015Q2 2021$84.99 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).