Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antinori Tignanello Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | 1% |
| Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 $89.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,000 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $580 | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| Dom Perignon Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $280 | ▲ 1.8% | ▲ 64.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Krug Champagne Grande Cuvee sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $200 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Louis Roederer Cristal Champagne Brut 2014 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $254 $423 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Opus One Red Wine Rutherford 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $455 | — | — | 76% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 95 Grange Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $850 | 0.0% | — | 450% premium | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Artemis Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $74.99 $79.99 Sale | ▼ 5.9% | ▲ 17.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $305 $310 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |