Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Pinot Noir Elton Vineyard 2017 red · Oregon · 1500 ml | $34.93 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 116% premium | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Georges De Latour Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 118% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 119% premium | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Poggio al Vento Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 119% premium | <1% |
| Ciacci Picolomini d'Aragona Pianrosso Santa Caterina Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $53.93 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $190 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lobo Wulff Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Atlas Peak Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.43 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luigi Einaudi Cannubi Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | 122% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Leflaive Le Monte Macon Verze 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $76.99 | 0.0% | — | 125% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | 127% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | ▲ 8.3% | — | 127% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perrier Jouet Belle Epoque Champagne With 2 Flutes Gift Set sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $162 | 0.0% | — | 128% premium | 17% typically +6% if it rises |
| Clos Fourtet Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | 128% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Leflaive Macon Verze Le Monte 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $57.63 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 130% premium | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Aida Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $83.93 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 132% premium | <1% |
| Castello dei Rampolla Sammarco Toscana Rosso 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $96.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Manzanos 125th Anniversary Rioja Reserva 2009 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 132% premium | <1% |
| Sasso di Sole Sasso di Luna Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 132% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 133% premium | <1% |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 133% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta della Ornellaia Ornellaia Bolgheri Superiore 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pio Cesare Barolo Mosconi 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $175 | 0.0% | — | 136% premium | 1% |
| Banfi Brunello di Montalcino Poggio Alle Mura Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $48.93 $155 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 136% premium | <1% |
| Heitz Cellar Lot C 91 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $71.73 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 137% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 137% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $250 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 139% premium | <1% |
| Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gaja Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $260 | 0.0% | — | 140% premium | <1% |
| Allegrini Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2020 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $56.99 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 142% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Pierre St Julien 2021 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | ▲ 8.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $600 | — | — | 148% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 150% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Monthelie White 2022 white · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 151% premium | <1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| M Chapoutier Monier de la Sizeranne Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | 152% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 149 Wine of the World Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 154% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $43.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Argentiera Bolgheri Superiore 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 156% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | 0.0% | — | 156% premium | 1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Alion Tempranillo Ribera del Duero 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $43.73 $146 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 157% premium | <1% |
| Clos Saint Jean Deus Ex Machina Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $83.99 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 157% premium | <1% |
| Bien Nacido Estate The XO Reserve Syrah Santa Maria Valley SBC 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 158% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe Magnum 2018 white · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,440 $1,920 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 158% premium | <1% |
| Bruno Giacosa Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $210 | 0.0% | — | 159% premium | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley Reserve 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $83.99 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 161% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 162% premium | <1% |
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