Cellar Index
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Bodegas Alion Tempranillo Ribera del Duero 2019

red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml · 2019 vintage · tracked since Q4 2023

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$43.73 $146 Clearance
12 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +13% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -26%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$146 ($146–$146)<1%
Q2 2027$146 ($146–$146)<1%
Q1 2027$146 ($146–$146)<1%
Q4 2026$146 ($146–$146)<1%
Q3 2026$146$43.73
Q2 2026$146$43.73
Q1 2026$146$43.73
Q4 2025$146$43.73
Q3 2025$146$110
Q2 2025$146
Q1 2025$146
Q4 2024$146
Q3 2024$146
Q2 2024$146
Q1 2024$146
Q4 2023$146

Chance the list price will differ from today's $146

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$56.81
Comparable wines cost $19.86–$110 (80% range). At $146 it carries a 157% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2025–2039
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Ribera del Duero
Next vintage (2020) vs this one
15% chance priced higher
Typical change -0.5% (80% range -16.2% to 18.6%) · 71% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2019 (this page)Listed now$43.73 $146 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2014Q4 2022$120 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).