Cellar Index
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Bruno Giacosa Barolo 2016

red · Piedmont · 750 ml · 2016 vintage · tracked since Q4 2021

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$210
19 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +16% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -23%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$210 ($210–$210)<1%
Q2 2027$210 ($210–$210)<1%
Q1 2027$210 ($210–$210)<1%
Q4 2026$210 ($210–$210)<1%
Q3 2026$210
Q2 2026$210
Q1 2026$210
Q4 2025$210
Q3 2025$210
Q2 2025$210
Q1 2025$210
Q4 2024$210
Q3 2024$210
Q2 2024$210
Q1 2024$210
Q4 2023$210
Q2 2023$210
Q1 2023$210
Q4 2022$210
Q3 2022$210
Q2 2022$210
Q1 2022$210
Q4 2021$210

Chance the list price will differ from today's $210

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$81.09
Comparable wines cost $54.81–$123 (80% range). At $210 it carries a 159% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2024–2041
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Piedmont

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.

Promotion

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).