Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fattoria Pupille Saffredi Maremma Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Du Val Yettalil Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.73 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $159 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $180 | — | — | 100% premium | 2% |
| Clos Fourtet Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $75.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri Superiore Maestro di Cava 2019 sparkling · Tuscany · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Benchland Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Vally 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $112 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Dancing Bear Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| Staglin Family Vineyard Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $94.93 $305 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| Clos Martinet Priorat 2020 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Patrimony Estate Caves des Lions Adelaida District 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Pommard 1er Cru Les Croix Noires 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Salvestrin Three D Cabernet Sauvignon Dr Crane Vineyard St Helena 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.73 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Figeac Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $105 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fuligni Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $80.99 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $220 | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $250 | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Saint Pierre Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ricasoli Colledila Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 106% premium | <1% |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $220 | 0.0% | — | 106% premium | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Montes Purple Angel Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 107% premium | 1% |
| Clos Mogador Priorat 2019 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| La Rioja Alta Tempranillo 904 Rioja Gran Reserva 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $69.53 $91.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur St Estephe 2021 red · 1500 ml | $94.93 $340 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Staglin Family Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $195 $325 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alex Moreau La Maltroie Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | 1% |
| Pio Cesare Il Bricco Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $87.59 $146 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 110% premium | 4% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Proprietor Selection Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | 110% premium | <1% |
| Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 111% premium | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Stilema Taurasi 2016 red · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Merus Estate Bottled Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Centine Rosso Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 5000 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 111% premium | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Diamond Selection 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Fladgate Tawny Port 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.93 $245 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 113% premium | <1% |
| Billecart Salmon Le Rose Extra Brut Champange 2015 sparkling · 750 ml | $134 | — | — | 113% premium | 3% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bodegas Vega Sicilia Valbuena Tempranillo Ribera del Duero 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $80.73 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $137 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Elvio Cogno Barolo Ravera 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 115% premium | <1% |
| Graham's Tawny Porto 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $210 $240 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 116% premium | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
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