Bodegas Vega Sicilia Valbuena Tempranillo Ribera del Duero 2018
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml · 2018 vintage · tracked since Q4 2023
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$80.73 $270 Clearance
12 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +16% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -26%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $270 ($270–$270) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $270 ($270–$270) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $270 ($270–$270) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $270 ($270–$270) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $270 | $80.73 | ||
| Q2 2026 | $270 | $80.73 | ||
| Q1 2026 | $270 | $80.73 | ||
| Q4 2025 | $270 | $80.73 | ||
| Q3 2025 | $270 | $200 | ||
| Q2 2025 | $270 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $270 | |||
| Q4 2024 | $270 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $270 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $270 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $270 | |||
| Q4 2023 | $270 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $270
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$126
Comparable wines cost $57.12–$191 (80% range). At $270 it carries a 114% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2024–2038
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Ribera del Duero
Next vintage (2019) vs this one
46% chance priced higher
Typical change +8.7% (80% range -14.4% to 38.6%) · 49% chance priced lower
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).