Patrimony Estate Caves des Lions Adelaida District 2019
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · 2019 vintage · tracked since Q1 2023
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$150 $300 Clearance
15 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 1
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +16% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -25%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $300 ($300–$300) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $300 ($300–$300) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $300 ($300–$300) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $300 ($300–$300) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $300 | $150 | ||
| Q2 2026 | $300 | $150 | ||
| Q1 2026 | $300 | $150 | ||
| Q4 2025 | $300 | $150 | ||
| Q3 2025 | $300 | $150 | ||
| Q2 2025 | $300 | $225 | ||
| Q1 2025 | $300 | |||
| Q4 2024 | $300 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $300 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $300 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $300 | |||
| Q4 2023 | $300 | |||
| Q3 2023 | $300 | |||
| Q2 2023 | $300 | |||
| Q1 2023 | $300 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $300
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$149
Comparable wines cost $95.07–$221 (80% range). At $300 it carries a 102% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2025–2039
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Paso Robles
Next vintage (2020) vs this one
16% chance priced higher
Typical change +2.5% (80% range -10.2% to 26.4%) · 59% chance priced lower
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).