Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Finca Mirador Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 78% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $464 $756 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 79% premium | <1% |
| Conti Costanti Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $74.99 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Spottswoode Lyndenhurst Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Pinot Noir Bob's Ranch Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $47.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | <1% |
| Chateau D'Yquem Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $550 | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Alex Moreau Chassagne Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $114 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de Cristia Cuvee Renaissance Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 149 Wine of the World Cabernet Sauvignon 2018 red · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 81% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | ▲ 8.7% | — | 82% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Figeac Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $174 $324 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 82% premium | <1% |
| Marcarini Barolo Brunate 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $62.93 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,050 $1,400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 389 Cabernet Sauvignon Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $350 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino Pomona 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 84% premium | <1% |
| Graham's Vintage Port 2020 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $89.93 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pio Cesare Barolo Ornato 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $146 | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | 1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $580 | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine des Heritiers Corton Charlemagne Grand Cru 2020 red · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $250 | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | 1% |
| Casanova di Neri Tenuta Nuova Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $91.79 $153 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 29 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $83.73 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | 1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,350 | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.43 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Bob's Ranch Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $47.53 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Billecart Salmon Champagne Brut Rose sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $165 $275 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $105 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Heitz Cellar Lot C 91 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $97.99 | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $48.93 $155 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solomon Hills Estate Belle of the Ball Reserve Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley SBC 2019 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Two Hands Ares Shiraz Barossa Valley 2018 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | — | — | 93% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $107 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Lisini Ugolaia Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Allegrini Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | <1% |
| Taittinger Comtes de Champagne Blanc de Blancs Brut Grand Cru 2013 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $150 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Fonterutoli Siepi Toscana Rosso 2015 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Cuvee Frederic Emile Riesling Alsace 2015 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | 98% premium | 2% |
| Zuccardi Finca Piedro Infinita Gravascal Malbec Paraje Altamira 2018 red · 750 ml | $74.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 98% premium | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2016 dessert · 500 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 98% premium | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling GG Reserve Unterst Pichter 2017 white · 750 ml | $103 $105 Sale | 0.0% | — | 99% premium | 1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Transcendent Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 100% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
751–800 of 1,027← PreviousNext →