Disznoko Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2016
dessert · 500 ml · 2016 vintage · tracked since Q4 2022
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$89.99
16 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +9% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -28%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $89.99 ($89.99–$89.99) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $89.99 ($89.99–$89.99) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $89.99 ($89.99–$89.99) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $89.99 ($89.99–$89.99) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $89.99 | |||
| Q2 2026 | $89.99 | |||
| Q1 2026 | $89.99 | |||
| Q4 2025 | $89.99 | |||
| Q3 2025 | $89.99 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $89.99 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $89.99 | |||
| Q4 2024 | $89.99 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $89.99 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $89.99 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $89.99 | |||
| Q4 2023 | $89.99 | |||
| Q3 2023 | $89.99 | |||
| Q2 2023 | $89.99 | |||
| Q1 2023 | $89.99 | |||
| Q4 2022 | $89.99 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $89.99
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$45.38
Comparable wines cost $26.18–$61.49 (80% range). At $89.99 it carries a 98% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2018–2031
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury dessert wine from this category
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).