Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021
dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml · 2021 vintage · tracked since Q1 2025
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$580
7 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +36% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -31%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $580 ($580–$580) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $580 ($580–$580) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $580 ($580–$580) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $580 ($580–$580) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $580 | |||
| Q2 2026 | $580 | |||
| Q1 2026 | $580 | |||
| Q4 2025 | $580 | |||
| Q3 2025 | $580 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $580 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $580 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $580
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$311
Comparable wines cost $202–$324 (80% range). At $580 it carries a 87% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2029–2061
Opens in 3 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury dessert wine from Bordeaux
Next vintage (2022) vs this one
79% chance priced higher
Typical change +16.5% (80% range -7.8% to 58.4%) · 15% chance priced lower
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.
Promotion
Other vintages
Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.
| Vintage | Last listed | Shelf price | 1yr History | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 (this page) | Listed now | $580 | 0.0% | <1% |
| 2020 | Listed now | $550 | 0.0% | <1% |
| 2016 | Q4 2021 | $550 | 0.0% | — |
| 2010 | Q1 2020 | $878 | 0.0% | — |
| 2008 | Q2 2017 | $197 $328 Sale | — | — |
| 2006 | Q2 2017 | $404 $674 Sale | — | — |
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).