Cellar Index
← All wines

Graham's Vintage Port 2020

dessert · Douro · 750 ml · 2020 vintage · tracked since Q2 2023

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$89.93 $300 Clearance
14 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +37% · 0% chance of a cut (typically -23%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$300 ($300–$300)<1%
Q2 2027$300 ($300–$300)<1%
Q1 2027$300 ($300–$300)<1%
Q4 2026$300 ($300–$300)<1%
Q3 2026$300$89.93
Q2 2026$300$89.93
Q1 2026$300$89.93
Q4 2025$300$178
Q3 2025$300
Q2 2025$300
Q1 2025$300
Q4 2024$300
Q3 2024$300
Q2 2024$300
Q1 2024$300
Q4 2023$300
Q3 2023$300
Q2 2023$300

Chance the list price will differ from today's $300

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$161
Comparable wines cost $58.65–$347 (80% range). At $300 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2028–2060
Opens in 2 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury dessert wine from Douro
Next vintage (2021) vs this one
4% chance priced higher
Typical change +2.6% (80% range -22.1% to 18.9%) · 82% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2020 (this page)Listed now$89.93 $300 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2011Q4 2017$55.84 $92.99 Sale 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).