Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Aile D'Argent Pauillac Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $119 | 0.0% | — | 84% below | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Aile D'Argent Pauillac Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | 82% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | 78% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $127 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | 73% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% below | <1% |
| E Guigal Brune et Blonde Cote Rotie 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $42.03 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 55% below | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 $89.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $65.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Champgains Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.03 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 32% below | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Champgains Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% below | <1% |
| Domaine Latour Giraud Caillerets Meursault 1er Cru Rouge 2017 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% below | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $23.13 $77.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Pol Roger Champagne Brut Reserve sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $79.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 51.0% | 20% below | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.73 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.99 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $310 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hewitt Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $105 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $276 $280 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $168 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $175 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2014 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $186 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Brune et Blonde Cote Rotie 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Armand de Brignac Ace of Spades Champagne Brut Multi Vintage in Gift Box sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $300 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Dominus Estate Napanook Yountville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Paul Hobbs Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2019 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Inglenook Caberenet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine des Heritiers Beaune Boucherottes 1er Cru Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $21.93 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2018 white · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.43 $122 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $121 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $250 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $77.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.93 $121 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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