Cellar Index
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Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018

red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · 2018 vintage · tracked since Q1 2024

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$105 $175 Clearance
11 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +16% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -26%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$175 ($175–$175)<1%
Q2 2027$175 ($175–$175)<1%
Q1 2027$175 ($175–$175)<1%
Q4 2026$175 ($175–$175)<1%
Q3 2026$175$105
Q2 2026$175$105
Q1 2026$175$130
Q4 2025$175
Q3 2025$175
Q2 2025$175
Q1 2025$175
Q4 2024$175
Q3 2024$175
Q2 2024$175
Q1 2024$175

Chance the list price will differ from today's $175

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$350
Comparable wines cost $111–$575 (80% range). At $175 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2024–2038
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Napa Valley

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2020Listed now$175—1%
2018 (this page)Listed now$105 $175 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2017Listed now$41.73 $140 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2016Q4 2022$130 0.0%—
2015Q3 2022$130 0.0%—
2014Q4 2022$130 0.0%—
2013Q3 2021$120 0.0%—
2012Q2 2019$130 0.0%—
2011Q1 2017$110——
2010Q1 2019$110——

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).