Cellar Index
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Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021

dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml · 2021 vintage · tracked since Q1 2025

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$276 $280 Sale
7 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 2
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
1% chance of a rise
typically +36% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -31%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$280 ($280–$280)1%
Q2 2027$280 ($280–$280)1%
Q1 2027$280 ($280–$280)1%
Q4 2026$280 ($280–$280)<1%
Q3 2026$280$276
Q2 2026$280$260
Q1 2026$280
Q4 2025$280
Q3 2025$280
Q2 2025$280
Q1 2025$280

Chance the list price will differ from today's $280

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
1%
<1%
Q2 2027
1%
<1%
Q3 2027
1%
<1%
Fair price
$547
Comparable wines cost $93.53–$642 (80% range). At $280 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2029–2061
Opens in 3 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury dessert wine from Bordeaux
Next vintage (2022) vs this one
25% chance priced higher
Typical change +6.8% (80% range -15.3% to 32.8%) · 61% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on sale.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2021 (this page)Listed now$276 $280 Sale 0.0%1%
2020Listed now$168 $280 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2019Listed now$300 0.0%1%
2015Q1 2020$350 0.0%—
2014Listed now$186 $300 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2011Q4 2021$250 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).