Cellar Index
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Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019

red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · 2019 vintage · tracked since Q4 2022

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$140
16 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +34% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -33%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$140 ($140–$140)<1%
Q2 2027$140 ($140–$140)<1%
Q1 2027$140 ($140–$140)<1%
Q4 2026$140 ($140–$140)<1%
Q3 2026$140
Q2 2026$140
Q1 2026$140
Q4 2025$140
Q3 2025$140
Q2 2025$140
Q1 2025$140
Q4 2024$140
Q3 2024$140
Q2 2024$140
Q1 2024$140
Q4 2023$140
Q3 2023$140
Q2 2023$140
Q1 2023$140
Q4 2022$140

Chance the list price will differ from today's $140

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$629
Comparable wines cost $177–$1,177 (80% range). At $140 it is priced 78% below them.
Typical drinking window
2029–2054
Opens in 3 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Bordeaux

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2022Listed now$230 0.0%1%
2021Listed now$50.93 $170 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2020Listed now$170 0.0%<1%
2019 (this page)Listed now$140 0.0%<1%
2018Listed now$127 $170 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2017Q4 2022$120 0.0%—
2016Q4 2020$130——

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).