Cellar Index
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Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020

red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · 2020 vintage · tracked since Q1 2026

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$175
3 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
—
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
1% chance of a rise
typically +16% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -34%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$175 ($175–$175)1%
Q2 2027$175 ($175–$175)1%
Q1 2027$175 ($175–$175)1%
Q4 2026$175 ($175–$175)<1%
Q3 2026$175
Q2 2026$175
Q1 2026$175

Chance the list price will differ from today's $175

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
1%
<1%
Q2 2027
1%
<1%
Q3 2027
1%
<1%
Fair price
$312
Comparable wines cost $110–$553 (80% range). At $175 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2026–2040
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Napa Valley
Next vintage (2021) vs this one
34% chance priced higher
Typical change +4% (80% range -4.7% to 12.2%) · 3% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2020 (this page)Listed now$175—1%
2018Listed now$105 $175 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2017Listed now$41.73 $140 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2016Q4 2022$130 0.0%—
2015Q3 2022$130 0.0%—
2014Q4 2022$130 0.0%—
2013Q3 2021$120 0.0%—
2012Q2 2019$130 0.0%—
2011Q1 2017$110——
2010Q1 2019$110——

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).