Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jim Barry The McRae Wood Shiraz Clare Valley 2017 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | 154% premium | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 149 Wine of the World Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 154% premium | <1% |
| Trefethen Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 154% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $43.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominios de Berceo Graciano Rioja 2014 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $15.93 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 155% premium | <1% |
| Markus Wine Co Sol Red Lodi 2018 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $11.93 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 155% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta Argentiera Bolgheri Superiore 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 156% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | 0.0% | — | 156% premium | 1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Alion Tempranillo Ribera del Duero 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $43.73 $146 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 157% premium | <1% |
| Clos Saint Jean Deus Ex Machina Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $83.99 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 157% premium | <1% |
| Bien Nacido Estate The XO Reserve Syrah Santa Maria Valley SBC 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 158% premium | <1% |
| Bruno Giacosa Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $210 | 0.0% | — | 159% premium | <1% |
| La Vizcaina de Vinos Bierzo Tinto La Vitoriana 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.53 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 160% premium | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley Reserve 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $83.99 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 161% premium | <1% |
| Hermanos Hernaiz Finca la Emperatriz Gran Vino Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 161% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 162% premium | <1% |
| Airfield Estates Founders H Lloyd Miller Bordeaux Blend 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 163% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas Roda Rioja Reserva Roda 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $57.99 | 0.0% | — | 163% premium | 1% |
| Renwood Reserve Grandpere Zinfandel Amador County 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 164% premium | <1% |
| My Favorite Neighbor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 166% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 166% premium | <1% |
| Cune Imperial Grand Reserva Rioja Alta 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 167% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 168% premium | <1% |
| Warwick Estate Red Blend Stellenbosch Reserve 2018 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 169% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Larcis Ducasse Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | 170% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $153 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $260 | — | — | 175% premium | 4% |
| Quinta do Vallado Douro Red Reserva 2018 red · Douro · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 175% premium | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Antonio Taurasi Riserva 2008 red · 750 ml | $210 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Radikon RS Rosso Friuli 2022 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | 178% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Valandraud Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Domaine Jean Louis Chave Hermitage Rouge 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $350 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 179% premium | 1% |
| Frank Cornelissen Munjebel MC Terre Siciliane Rosso 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | 181% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Jean Louis Chave Hermitage Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $210 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 183% premium | <1% |
| Terra Olympus Terra Petra Rapsani Central Greece Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 184% premium | 1% |
| J Lohr Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2017 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 186% premium | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Cabernet Sauvignon Sycamore Vineyard Rutherford 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $225 | — | — | 187% premium | 1% |
| Antinori Solaia 2020 red · 750 ml | $300 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 188% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 189% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Musar Gaston Hochar Bekaa Valley Lebanon Rouge 2018 red · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 190% premium | 1% |
| Fattoria Le Pupille Saffredi Maremma Toscana Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 191% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Hosanna Pomerol 2017 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Luce Luce della Vite Toscana 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | 192% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 192% premium | 1% |
| J Lohr Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 194% premium | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Bucephalus Red Wine Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | 194% premium | 1% |
| Sigma Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $149 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 195% premium | <1% |
5,551–5,600 of 5,705← PreviousNext →