Cellar Index
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Domaine Jean Louis Chave Hermitage Rouge 2021

red · Rhone · 750 ml · 2021 vintage · tracked since Q3 2024

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$210 $350 Clearance
9 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +17% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -23%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$350 ($350–$350)<1%
Q2 2027$350 ($350–$350)<1%
Q1 2027$350 ($350–$350)<1%
Q4 2026$350 ($350–$350)<1%
Q3 2026$350$210
Q2 2026$350$210
Q1 2026$350
Q4 2025$350
Q3 2025$350
Q2 2025$350
Q1 2025$350
Q4 2024$350
Q3 2024$350

Chance the list price will differ from today's $350

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$124
Comparable wines cost $63.35–$175 (80% range). At $350 it carries a 183% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2027–2041
Opens in 1 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Rhone
Next vintage (2022) vs this one
14% chance priced higher
Typical change -0.3% (80% range -19.2% to 18.9%) · 38% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2021 (this page)Listed now$210 $350 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2017Listed now$350 0.0%1%
2015Q1 2020$350 0.0%—
2012Q2 2018$192 $240 Sale 0.0%—
2011Q1 2018$237 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).