Sigma Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml · 2018 vintage · tracked since Q4 2022
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$149 $500 Clearance
16 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +16% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -25%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $500 ($500–$500) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $500 ($500–$500) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $500 ($500–$500) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $500 ($500–$500) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $500 | $149 | ||
| Q2 2026 | $500 | $149 | ||
| Q1 2026 | $500 | $149 | ||
| Q4 2025 | $500 | $300 | ||
| Q3 2025 | $500 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $500 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $500 | |||
| Q4 2024 | $500 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $500 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $500 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $500 | |||
| Q4 2023 | $500 | |||
| Q3 2023 | $500 | |||
| Q2 2023 | $500 | |||
| Q1 2023 | $500 | |||
| Q4 2022 | $500 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $500
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$170
Comparable wines cost $50.12–$566 (80% range). At $500 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2024–2038
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Napa Valley
Next vintage (2019) vs this one
58% chance priced higher
Typical change +2.9% (80% range -13.5% to 24.5%) · 12% chance priced lower
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).