Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Paul Hobbs Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$125 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Shafer One Point Five Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$110 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$52.23 $86.49 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine William Fevre Chablis Grand Cru Bougros Cote Bouguerots 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$142 $236 Clearance 0.0%—66% premium<1%
Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chappellet Pritchard Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$150 $300 Clearance 0.0%—328% premium<1%
Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$80.93 $270 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Clos Saint Jean Deus Ex Machina Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$83.99 $140 Clearance 0.0%—157% premium<1%
Darioush Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$90.03 $150 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joseph Pascal Les Enseigneres Puligny Montrachet 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$20.73 $76.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll Vaca Vista Vineyard 2019
red · 750 ml
$89.93 $120 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$225 $750 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2014
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$186 $300 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$21.93 $77.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Jean Michel Gerin Le Seigneur Cote Rotie 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$56.03 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Double Diamond Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$23.93 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Orin Swift Papillon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$53.99 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Staglin Family Vineyard Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$94.93 $305 Clearance 0.0%—101% premium<1%
The Mascot Red Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$110 $180 Clearance 0.0%—334% premium<1%
WALT Pinot Noir Bob's Ranch Sonoma Coast 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$47.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—80% premium<1%
Beaux Freres Beaux Freres Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$82.43 $110 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Catena Zapata Argentino Malbec Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$71.99 $120 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Montelena Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$47.99 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—34% premium<1%
Domaine Antonin Guyon Les Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$67.43 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Champgains Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$47.03 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—32% below<1%
Domaine Paul Pernot Les Chalumaux Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru 2023
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$37.43 $125 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015
red · Oregon · 1500 ml
$90.93 $280 Clearance 0.0%—43% premium<1%
Domaine William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$62.39 $104 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$61.79 $103 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hess Collection Mount Veeder Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Grown 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$63.63 $84.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Bartolucci Vineyard St. Helena Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$75.03 $125 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$43.03 $85.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Montes Purple Angel Carmenere Colchagua Vallley 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$77.93 $104 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2022
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$63.03 $105 Clearance 0.0%—18% premium<1%
Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$121 $400 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$250 $400 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Surber Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$66.03 $99.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$195 $260 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vineyard 29 29 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$83.73 $280 Clearance 0.0%—88% premium<1%
Vineyard 29 Ceanda Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$89.99 $150 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Allegrini Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2020
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$56.99 $94.99 Clearance 0.0%—142% premium<1%
Cakebread Cellars Dancing Bear Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$110 $190 Clearance 0.0%—101% premium<1%
Catena Zapata Nicasia Malbec Mendoza 2020
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$59.39 $98.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$480 $800 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Amiot Guy Chassagne Montrachet Les Caillerets 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$89.99 $150 Clearance 0.0%—68% premium<1%
E Guigal Brune et Blonde Cote Rotie 2017
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$42.03 $81.99 Clearance 0.0%—62% below<1%
E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2017
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$26.73 $86.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ghost Block Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$24.93 $84.99 Clearance 0.0%—67% premium<1%
451–500 of 974← PreviousNext →