Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Hobbs Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer One Point Five Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.23 $86.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Chablis Grand Cru Bougros Cote Bouguerots 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $142 $236 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 66% premium | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chappellet Pritchard Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 328% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Saint Jean Deus Ex Machina Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $83.99 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 157% premium | <1% |
| Darioush Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $90.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Pascal Les Enseigneres Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.73 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll Vaca Vista Vineyard 2019 red · 750 ml | $89.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $225 $750 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2014 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $186 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Michel Gerin Le Seigneur Cote Rotie 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $56.03 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Double Diamond Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Papillon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.99 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Staglin Family Vineyard Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $94.93 $305 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| The Mascot Red Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 334% premium | <1% |
| WALT Pinot Noir Bob's Ranch Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $47.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Beaux Freres Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $82.43 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Argentino Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Les Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $67.43 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Champgains Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.03 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 32% below | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Les Chalumaux Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 1500 ml | $90.93 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $62.39 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $61.79 $103 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Collection Mount Veeder Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Grown 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $63.63 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Bartolucci Vineyard St. Helena Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $43.03 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Purple Angel Carmenere Colchagua Vallley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $77.93 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2022 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $63.03 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $121 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $250 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Surber Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $66.03 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $195 $260 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 29 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $83.73 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Ceanda Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.99 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Allegrini Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2020 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $56.99 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 142% premium | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Dancing Bear Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Nicasia Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.39 $98.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $480 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Amiot Guy Chassagne Montrachet Les Caillerets 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| E Guigal Brune et Blonde Cote Rotie 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $42.03 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.73 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ghost Block Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 67% premium | <1% |
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