Cellar Index
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Catena Zapata Argentino Malbec Mendoza 2021

red · Mendoza · 750 ml · 2021 vintage · tracked since Q4 2024

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$71.99 $120 Clearance
8 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +10% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -26%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$120 ($120–$120)<1%
Q2 2027$120 ($120–$120)<1%
Q1 2027$120 ($120–$120)<1%
Q4 2026$120 ($120–$120)<1%
Q3 2026$120$71.99
Q2 2026$120$71.99
Q1 2026$120
Q4 2025$120
Q3 2025$120
Q2 2025$120
Q1 2025$120
Q4 2024$120

Chance the list price will differ from today's $120

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$151
Comparable wines cost $80.41–$192 (80% range). At $120 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2026–2036
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Mendoza
Next vintage (2022) vs this one
22% chance priced higher
Typical change +0.8% (80% range -10.7% to 17.6%) · 38% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).