Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Giacosa Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $210 | 0.0% | — | 159% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Canon la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $375 $750 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dom Ruinart Champagne Rose 2007 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gaja Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $260 | 0.0% | — | 140% premium | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $87.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Georges De Latour Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $155 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carruades de Lafite Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $370 | 0.0% | — | 395% premium | <1% |
| Chappellet Cabernet Sauvignon Pritchard Hill Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $200 $320 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 245% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $156 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $153 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | 78% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $151 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $153 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Continuum Proprietary Red Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $220 $340 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $132 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Genevrieres 1er Cru Meursault 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Hosanna Pomerol 2017 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $280 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chimney Rock Elevage Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bouchard Pere et Fils Nuits Saint Georges Les Cailles 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $152 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Chassagne Montrachet Les Vergers 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Champgains Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% below | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Estournelles Saint Jacques Gevrey Chambertin 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $135 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $200 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Single Vineyard Branding Iron Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Dogleg Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Yountville Single Vineyard State Ranch Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Proprietor Selection Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | 110% premium | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Charmes Dessus Meursault 1er Cru Premier Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Sous Fretille Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru 2020 red · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Leflaive Macon Verze Le Monte 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $57.63 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 130% premium | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2013 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Aluvional Malbec Paraje Altamira 2015 red · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Addendum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos d'Estournel Saint Estephe 2017 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $138 $230 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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