Chimney Rock Elevage Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · 2019 vintage · tracked since Q4 2022
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$120
16 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +14% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -35%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $120 ($120–$120) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $120 ($120–$120) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $120 ($120–$120) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $120 ($120–$120) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $120 | |||
| Q2 2026 | $120 | |||
| Q1 2026 | $120 | |||
| Q4 2025 | $120 | |||
| Q3 2025 | $120 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $120 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $120 | |||
| Q4 2024 | $120 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $120 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $120 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $120 | |||
| Q4 2023 | $120 | |||
| Q3 2023 | $120 | |||
| Q2 2023 | $120 | |||
| Q1 2023 | $120 | |||
| Q4 2022 | $120 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $120
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$117
Comparable wines cost $88.35–$282 (80% range). At $120 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2025–2039
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Napa Valley
Next vintage (2020) vs this one
12% chance priced higher
Typical change +0.1% (80% range -11.9% to 19.2%) · 43% chance priced lower
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).