Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change

2.8%

of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move

How well the model spots upcoming price rises

0.891 next quarter

0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.

Model

hgbq-20260928-160312

Trained on data through 2026-07-01

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

All styles Red White Rosé Sparkling Dessert

All prices Under $25 $25–75 $75+

Wine	Shelf price	1yr History	5yr History	vs fair price	Chance of a rise within a year
Far Niente Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml	$275	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Patrimony Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Adelaida District 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml	$300	0.0%	—	313% premium	<1%
Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$120	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Domaine Latour Giraud Caillerets Meursault 1er Cru Rouge 2017 red · Burgundy · 750 ml	$89.99	0.0%	—	26% below	<1%
Domaine Louis Jadot Abbaye de Morgeot Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml	$131	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Domaine William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml	$47.99 $79.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 white · Napa Valley · 1500 ml	$143	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Grieve Family Winery Double Eagle Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml	$220	0.0%	—	284% premium	<1%
Howell Mountain Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml	$99.99	—	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Lanson Le Vintage Champagne 2012 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml	$35.93 $120 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Louis Jadot Puligny Montrachet La Garenne 1er Cru Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml	$119	0.0%	—	35% premium	<1%
Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Asili 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml	$82.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montefico 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml	$82.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Pora 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml	$82.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Rio Sordo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml	$82.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Banfi Centine Rosso Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 5000 ml	$89.99	0.0%	—	111% premium	<1%
Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$125	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$580	0.0%	—	87% premium	<1%
Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Caillerets Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml	$115	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml	$89.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Lail Vineyards J Daniel Cuvee Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml	$210 $310 Clearance	0.0%	—	347% premium	<1%
Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml	$240	0.0%	0.0%	Fairly priced	<1%
Castellare I Sodi di San Niccolo Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml	$120	—	—	404% premium	<1%
Champagne Louis Roederer Cristal Brut Champagne Deluxe Gift Box 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml	$240 $400 Clearance	0.0%	—	31% premium	<1%
Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Chateauneuf Du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml	$105	0.0%	—	49% premium	<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2014 white · Mosel · 750 ml	$79.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Piper Heidsieck Rare Brut Rose Champagne Millesime 2012 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml	$135 $450 Clearance	0.0%	—	287% premium	<1%
Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 3000 ml	$1,600	0.0%	—	45% premium	<1%
Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml	$89.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
A Margaine Special Club Blanc de Blancs 1er Cru Brut Champagne 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml	$71.99 $120 Clearance	0.0%	—	35% premium	<1%
Bibi Graetz Testamatta Sangiovese Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml	$84.99	0.0%	—	218% premium	<1%
Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt. Harlan 2021 red · 750 ml	$61.03 $94.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$89.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$125	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$86.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml	$99.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Domaine Louis Jadot Chapelle Chambertin Gevrey Chambertin Grand Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml	$300	0.0%	—	30% premium	<1%
Sea Smoke Southing Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml	$112	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Sea Smoke Ten Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml	$120	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$130	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe Magnum 2018 white · Bordeaux · 1500 ml	$1,440 $1,920 Clearance	0.0%	—	158% premium	<1%
Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$130	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$160	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$159	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Colgin IX Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml	$800	0.0%	—	811% premium	<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml	$46.79 $77.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Penfolds Bin 95 Grange Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml	$850	0.0%	—	450% premium	<1%
Pio Cesare Barolo Ornato 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml	$130	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Salvestrin Cabernet Sauvignon Dr Crane Vineyard St Helena 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml	$89.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Antinori Tignanello Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml	$150	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%

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