Penfolds Bin 95 Grange Shiraz South Australia 2020
red · South Australia · 750 ml · 2020 vintage · tracked since Q3 2025
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$850
5 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 2
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +36% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -41%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $850 ($850–$850) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $850 ($850–$850) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $850 ($850–$850) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $850 ($850–$850) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $850 | |||
| Q2 2026 | $850 | $845 | ||
| Q1 2026 | $850 | $750 | ||
| Q4 2025 | $850 | |||
| Q3 2025 | $850 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $850
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$155
Comparable wines cost $54.11–$272 (80% range). At $850 it carries a 450% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2028–2045
Opens in 2 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from South Australia
Next vintage (2021) vs this one
26% chance priced higher
Typical change -3.7% (80% range -17.4% to 12.2%) · 49% chance priced lower
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).