Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $251 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 268% premium | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Soul of a Lion Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Adelaida District 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | 268% premium | <1% |
| Sam Jasper Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.43 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 271% premium | <1% |
| Il Carnasciale Il Caberlot Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 1500 ml | $84.93 $285 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 276% premium | <1% |
| Rene Bouvier Crais de Chene Fixin 2022 red · 750 ml | $69.99 $76.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 278% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 284% premium | <1% |
| Grieve Family Winery Double Eagle Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $220 | 0.0% | — | 284% premium | <1% |
| Porseleinberg Syrah Swartland 2018 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $26.73 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 284% premium | <1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Rare Brut Rose Champagne Millesime 2012 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $135 $450 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 287% premium | <1% |
| The Mascot Red Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $85.03 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 287% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 $265 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 288% premium | <1% |
| Montes Alpha M Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 290% premium | <1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Lot 1 Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 290% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 | — | — | 294% premium | 4% |
| Seiler Estate Single Vineyard Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Glass Mountain Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 307% premium | <1% |
| Pym Rae Tesseron Estate Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 308% premium | <1% |
| Patrimony Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Adelaida District 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 313% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $201 $336 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Centine Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 318% premium | 5% |
| Marques De Riscal Baron De Chirel Tempranillo Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 319% premium | <1% |
| The Mascot Red Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | 324% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.93 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 325% premium | <1% |
| Chappellet Pritchard Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 328% premium | <1% |
| Mano's Wine Eagles Championship Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $280 $300 Sale | 0.0% | — | 329% premium | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| The Mascot Red Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 334% premium | <1% |
| Le Pupille Saffredi Toscano Rosso 2021 red · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 334% premium | <1% |
| Chappellet Pritchard Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $178 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 334% premium | <1% |
| Duckhorn Three Palms Merlot 2021 red · 750 ml | $83.99 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 336% premium | <1% |
| Leoville du Marquis Las Cases Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $90.73 $303 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Phelps Insignia Red Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $219 $365 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 343% premium | <1% |
| Lail Vineyards J Daniel Cuvee Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $210 $310 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 347% premium | <1% |
| Warre's Vinhas Velhas Vintage Porto 350th Anniversay Edition 2020 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $56.93 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 361% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $380 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $106 $330 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 369% premium | <1% |
| Senorio de San Vicente Tempranillo Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $78.99 | — | — | 371% premium | 1% |
| Duca di Salaparuta Duca Enrico Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 378% premium | <1% |
| Don Julio Rosado rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 380% premium | 1% |
| Tenute Capaldo Goleto Greco di Tufo 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 383% premium | <1% |
| Leoville du Marquis Las Cases Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $350 | ▲ 34.6% | — | 391% premium | 1% |
| Montes Folly Syrah Colchagua Valley 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | 394% premium | <1% |
| Carruades de Lafite Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $370 | 0.0% | — | 395% premium | <1% |
| Donnafugata Mille e Una Notte 2020 red · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | 397% premium | <1% |
| Castellare I Sodi di San Niccolo Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 404% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $105 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 406% premium | <1% |
| Bond Quella Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $400 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $408 | ▲ 7.4% | — | 433% premium | 2% |
| Duckhorn Discussion Red Wine 2020 red · 750 ml | $130 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 443% premium | <1% |
| Bond St Eden Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $240 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 443% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 95 Grange Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $850 | 0.0% | — | 450% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 95 Grange Shiraz Australia 2019 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $510 $850 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 452% premium | <1% |
951–1,000 of 1,027← PreviousNext →