Cellar Index
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Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2022

red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · 2022 vintage · tracked since Q2 2025

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$408
6 quarters on record · 1 list-price change · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
▲ 7.4%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
2% chance of a rise
typically +35% · 1% chance of a cut (typically -20%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$408 ($408–$408)2%
Q2 2027$408 ($408–$408)2%
Q1 2027$408 ($408–$408)2%
Q4 2026$408 ($408–$408)1%
Q3 2026$408
Q2 2026$408
Q1 2026$408
Q4 2025$408
Q3 2025$380
Q2 2025$380

Chance the list price will differ from today's $408

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
1%
<1%
Q1 2027
2%
<1%
Q2 2027
2%
1%
Q3 2027
2%
1%
Fair price
$76.54
Comparable wines cost $35.87–$193 (80% range). At $408 it carries a 433% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2032–2057
Opens in 6 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Bordeaux

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2023Listed now$300—4%
2022 (this page)Listed now$408▲ 7.4%2%
2020Listed now$105 $350 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2019Listed now$150 $251 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2018Listed now$145 $270 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2017Q4 2022$250 0.0%—
2016Q4 2021$250 0.0%—
2015Q3 2019$200——
2010Q1 2018$370 0.0%—
2009Q1 2018$365 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).