Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 166% premium | <1% |
| Cune Imperial Grand Reserva Rioja Alta 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 167% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 168% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Larcis Ducasse Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | 170% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $153 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $260 | — | — | 175% premium | 4% |
| Mastroberardino Antonio Taurasi Riserva 2008 red · 750 ml | $210 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Valandraud Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Domaine Jean Louis Chave Hermitage Rouge 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $350 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 179% premium | 1% |
| Frank Cornelissen Munjebel MC Terre Siciliane Rosso 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | 181% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Jean Louis Chave Hermitage Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $210 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 183% premium | <1% |
| J Lohr Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2017 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 186% premium | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $550 | — | — | 186% premium | 4% |
| Freemark Abbey Cabernet Sauvignon Sycamore Vineyard Rutherford 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $225 | — | — | 187% premium | 1% |
| Antinori Solaia 2020 red · 750 ml | $300 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 188% premium | <1% |
| Laurent Perrier Grand Siecle No 26 Champagne NV sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $71.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 188% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 189% premium | <1% |
| Nik Weis St Urbans Hof Riesling Bockstein GG Mosel 2022 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $45.59 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 190% premium | <1% |
| Fattoria Le Pupille Saffredi Maremma Toscana Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 191% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Hosanna Pomerol 2017 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Luce Luce della Vite Toscana 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | 192% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 192% premium | 1% |
| Perrier Jouet Belle Epoque Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $190 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.8% | 194% premium | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| J Lohr Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 194% premium | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Bucephalus Red Wine Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | 194% premium | 1% |
| Sigma Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $149 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 195% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 197% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta Luce Luce della Vite Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 198% premium | <1% |
| Krug Brut Rose Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $480 | — | — | 201% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $72.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bibi Graetz Testamatta Rosso Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 213% premium | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Soul of a Lion Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Adelaida District 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $140 $150 Sale | 0.0% | — | 213% premium | 1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Lot 1 Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 213% premium | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Don Fiorino Reserva 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 215% premium | <1% |
| J Lohr Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 216% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $700 | ▲ 16.7% | — | 217% premium | 1% |
| Bibi Graetz Testamatta Sangiovese Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 218% premium | <1% |
| Taylor Fladgate Tawny Porto 50 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $300 | 0.0% | — | 226% premium | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Muga Rioja Reserva Seleccione Gift Set 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | 228% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de la Romanee Conti Grands Echezeaux Grand Cru 2022 red · 750 ml | $2,200 | 0.0% | — | 232% premium | 1% |
| Freemark Abbey Cabernet Sauvignon Bosche Vineyard Rutherford 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $225 | — | — | 232% premium | 1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Coursey Graves Red Blend Bennet Mountain Estate 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 244% premium | <1% |
| Chappellet Cabernet Sauvignon Pritchard Hill Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $200 $320 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 245% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $2,430 | ▲ 10.5% | — | 249% premium | 3% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Soul of a Lion Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Adelaida District 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 256% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $220 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Gaja Barbaresco 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $400 | 0.0% | — | 262% premium | 1% |
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