Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine De La Janasse Chaupin Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Shadows Feather Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $23.43 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Taylor Fladgate Tawny Port 30 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $148 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Oakcross Proprietary Red Oakville 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Donum Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 64% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds St Henri Shiraz South Australia 2018 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 64% premium | <1% |
| Roland Lavantureux Chablis 1er Cru Vau de Vey 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $82.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Superiore 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $280 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Asili 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 65% premium | 1% |
| Royal Oporto Tawny Porto 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $108 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Chablis Grand Cru Bougros Cote Bouguerots 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $142 $236 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 66% premium | <1% |
| Shafer One point Five Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $74.99 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $90.03 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $113 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jarvis Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 66% premium | <1% |
| Warre's Vintage Porto 2017 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $74.99 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ghost Block Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 67% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.93 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Amiot Guy Chassagne Montrachet Les Caillerets 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| Argiano Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha Y Toro Don Melchor Cabernet Sauvignon Puente Alto 2019 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $34.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $140 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Monte Rosso Vineyard Sonoma County 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.93 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Serena Gemini Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Force Majeure Epinette Red Blend Red Mountain Estate Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Geoffroy Rose de Saignee Brut Champagne 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $160 | — | — | 72% premium | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $174 $290 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Filippo Le Lucere Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Purple Angel Carmenere Colchagua Vallley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $77.93 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $43.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta Sette Ponti Oreno Toscana Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $36.73 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vilmart and Cie Grand Cellier Champagne 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 74% premium | 25% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | — | — | 74% premium | 4% |
| Louis Roederer Cristal Champagne Brut 2014 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $254 $423 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jarvis Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $220 | 0.0% | — | 75% premium | <1% |
| Crown Point Cabernet Sauvignon Happy Canyon of Santa Barbara 2017 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $89.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 407 Cabernet Sauvignon South Australia 2019 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Opus One Red Wine Rutherford 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $455 | — | — | 76% premium | <1% |
| Silenus Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards The Discussion Red Wine Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $97.03 $187 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Conti Costanti Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $220 | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 78% premium | <1% |
701–750 of 1,027← PreviousNext →