Cellar Index
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Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020

red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · 2020 vintage · tracked since Q4 2022

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$59.93 $200 Clearance
14 quarters on record · 1 list-price change · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +36% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -24%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$200 ($200–$200)<1%
Q2 2027$200 ($200–$200)<1%
Q1 2027$200 ($200–$200)<1%
Q4 2026$200 ($200–$200)<1%
Q3 2026$200$59.93
Q2 2026$200$59.93
Q1 2026$200$59.93
Q4 2025$200
Q3 2025$200
Q2 2025$200
Q1 2025$200
Q4 2024$200
Q3 2024$200
Q2 2024$200
Q1 2024$200
Q4 2023$200
Q3 2023$200
Q4 2022$160

Chance the list price will differ from today's $200

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$115
Comparable wines cost $61.32–$175 (80% range). At $200 it carries a 74% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2030–2055
Opens in 4 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Bordeaux

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2023Listed now$230—3%
2021Listed now$55.43 $185 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2020 (this page)Listed now$59.93 $200 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2019Listed now$76.53 $151 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2018Q1 2023$200 0.0%—
2016Q3 2022$150 0.0%—
2015Q4 2022$140 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).