Royal Oporto Tawny Porto 40 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed · tracked since Q4 2024
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$108 $180 Clearance
8 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 2
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
1% chance of a rise
typically +10% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -22%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $180 ($180–$188) | 1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $180 ($180–$186) | 1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $180 ($180–$180) | 1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $180 ($180–$180) | 1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $180 | $108 | ||
| Q2 2026 | $180 | $135 | ||
| Q1 2026 | $180 | $172 | ||
| Q4 2025 | $180 | |||
| Q3 2025 | $180 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $180 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $180 | $172 | ||
| Q4 2024 | $180 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $180
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
1%
<1%
Q1 2027
1%
<1%
Q2 2027
1%
<1%
Q3 2027
1%
<1%
Fair price
$109
Comparable wines cost $44.11–$226 (80% range). At $180 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).