Cellar Index
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Warre's Vintage Porto 2017

dessert · Douro · 750 ml · 2017 vintage · tracked since Q3 2024

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$74.99 $125 Clearance
9 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 1
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +16% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -26%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$125 ($125–$125)<1%
Q2 2027$125 ($125–$125)<1%
Q1 2027$125 ($125–$125)<1%
Q4 2026$125 ($125–$125)<1%
Q3 2026$125$74.99
Q2 2026$125$74.99
Q1 2026$125$118
Q4 2025$125
Q3 2025$125
Q2 2025$125
Q1 2025$125
Q4 2024$125
Q3 2024$125

Chance the list price will differ from today's $125

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$74.76
Comparable wines cost $41.05–$228 (80% range). At $125 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2025–2057
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury dessert wine from Douro

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2017 (this page)Listed now$74.99 $125 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2003Listed now$38.93 $130 Clearance 0.0%<1%

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).