Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines
WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2020
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2022
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$52.99 $56.99 Sale▲ 14.0%—54% premium2%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2014
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$186 $300 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2019
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$300 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2020
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$168 $280 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$276 $280 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021
dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$580 0.0%—87% premium<1%
Chateau de Malle Sauternes 2018
dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau la Tour Blanche Sauternes 2018
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chocolate Bar Port Red Wine
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99——Fairly priced4%
Christian Brothers Cream Sherry California
dessert · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 $11.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Christian Brothers Ruby Port California
dessert · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99▲ 4.0%▲ 8.3%Fairly priced11%
typically +7% if it rises
Clos Haut Peyraguey Sauternes 2018
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Cockburn's Fine Ruby Port
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.59 0.0%▲ 18.6%Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
Cockburn's Port Late Bottled Vintage
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.23 $22.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Cockburn's Port Special Reserve
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.79 0.0%▲ 4.2%Fairly priced7%
typically +9% if it rises
Cockburn's Porto Branco Fine White Port
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 $15.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced11%
typically +6% if it rises
Cockburn's Special Reserve Ruby Port with 2 Glasses Gift Set
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +6% if it rises
Croft Pink Port Douro Valley Porto
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$21.99——Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Delaforce Curious and Ancient Tawny Porto 20 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Delaforce Fine Ruby Porto
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Delaforce Fine Tawny Porto
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Delaforce His Eminence's Choice Tawny Porto 10 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Dios Baco Elite Amontillado Sherry
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.23 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—44% premium1%
Dios Baco Esnobista Moscatel Sherry
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.33 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—51% premium1%
Dios Baco Ria Pita Manzanilla Sherry
dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.03 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% below1%
Disznoko Tokaji 1413 2021
dessert · 500 ml
$16.79 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Disznoko Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2012
dessert · 500 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Disznoko Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2013
dessert · 500 ml
$32.39 $53.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Disznoko Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2016
dessert · 500 ml
$89.99 0.0%—98% premium<1%
Disznoko Tokaji Late Harvest 2020
dessert · 500 ml
$14.39 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dow's Late Bottled Vintage Ruby Port 2018
dessert · Douro · 750 ml
$27.99 $29.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Dow's Tawny Porto 10 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$38.99 0.0%▲ 21.9%Fairly priced6%
typically +10% if it rises
Dow's Tawny Porto 20 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$70.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +10% if it rises
Dow's Tawny Porto 30 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$140 0.0%▲ 27.3%Fairly priced7%
typically +10% if it rises
Dow's Tawny Porto 40 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$220 0.0%—106% premium13%
typically +10% if it rises
Emilio Lustau Capataz Crema Sherry
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 $18.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +6% if it rises
Emilio Lustau East India Sherry
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 $27.99 Sale 0.0%—43% premium14%
typically +7% if it rises
Emilio Lustau Fino Jarana Solera Sherry
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 $17.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +6% if it rises
Eola Hills Winery Vin dEpice Late Harvest Gewurtztraminer Oregon 2015
dessert · Oregon · 375 ml
$7.93 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Feuerheerd's Douro Red Reserva Anchor Wine Port Barrel Aged 2018
dessert · Douro · 750 ml
$7.53 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Feuerheerd's Twenty Year Tawny Port
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +10% if it rises
Florio Marsala Superiore Riserva Semisecco 2015
dessert · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—87% premium<1%
Florio Vecchioflorio Marsala Superiore Dry
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99▲ 7.1%▲ 15.4%Fairly priced9%
typically +3% if it rises
Florio Vecchioflorio Marsala Superiore Sweet
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99▲ 7.1%▲ 15.4%Fairly priced9%
typically +3% if it rises
Fonseca Bin 27 Reserve Port
dessert · Douro · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 $12.99 Sale——29% below9%
typically +8% if it rises
Fonseca Bin 27 Reserve Port Gift Tin
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.99 $20.99 Sale——Fairly priced7%
typically +5% if it rises
Fonseca Porto Bin No 27
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Fonseca Tawny Port 20 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$60.99 0.0%—Fairly priced5%
typically +7% if it rises
G and D Marsala Private Stock
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.23 $8.29 Clearance 0.0%▲ 18.6%47% below2%
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