Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2022 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $52.99 $56.99 Sale | ▲ 14.0% | — | 54% premium | 2% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2014 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $186 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2019 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $168 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $276 $280 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $580 | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| Chateau de Malle Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau la Tour Blanche Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chocolate Bar Port Red Wine dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Christian Brothers Cream Sherry California dessert · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Christian Brothers Ruby Port California dessert · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Clos Haut Peyraguey Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cockburn's Fine Ruby Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cockburn's Port Late Bottled Vintage dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cockburn's Port Special Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cockburn's Porto Branco Fine White Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cockburn's Special Reserve Ruby Port with 2 Glasses Gift Set dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Croft Pink Port Douro Valley Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Delaforce Curious and Ancient Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Delaforce Fine Ruby Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Delaforce Fine Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Delaforce His Eminence's Choice Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dios Baco Elite Amontillado Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 1% |
| Dios Baco Esnobista Moscatel Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | 1% |
| Dios Baco Ria Pita Manzanilla Sherry dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 1413 2021 dessert · 500 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2012 dessert · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2013 dessert · 500 ml | $32.39 $53.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2016 dessert · 500 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 98% premium | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji Late Harvest 2020 dessert · 500 ml | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dow's Late Bottled Vintage Ruby Port 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $70.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 30 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $140 | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $220 | 0.0% | — | 106% premium | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Emilio Lustau Capataz Crema Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Emilio Lustau East India Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
| Emilio Lustau Fino Jarana Solera Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Eola Hills Winery Vin dEpice Late Harvest Gewurtztraminer Oregon 2015 dessert · Oregon · 375 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feuerheerd's Douro Red Reserva Anchor Wine Port Barrel Aged 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feuerheerd's Twenty Year Tawny Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Florio Marsala Superiore Riserva Semisecco 2015 dessert · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| Florio Vecchioflorio Marsala Superiore Dry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +3% if it rises |
| Florio Vecchioflorio Marsala Superiore Sweet dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +3% if it rises |
| Fonseca Bin 27 Reserve Port dessert · Douro · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | — | — | 29% below | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Fonseca Bin 27 Reserve Port Gift Tin dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fonseca Porto Bin No 27 dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fonseca Tawny Port 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $60.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| G and D Marsala Private Stock dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.23 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | 47% below | 2% |
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