Dow's Tawny Porto 30 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed · tracked since Q4 2016
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$140
40 quarters on record · 2 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: ▲ 27.3%
Outlook for the next 12 months
7% chance of a rise
typically +10% · 1% chance of a cut (typically -8%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $140 ($140–$143) | 7% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $140 ($140–$141) | 6% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $140 ($140–$140) | 6% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $140 ($140–$140) | 5% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $140 | |||
| Q2 2026 | $140 | |||
| Q1 2026 | $140 | |||
| Q4 2025 | $140 | |||
| Q3 2025 | $140 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $140 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $140 | |||
| Q4 2024 | $140 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $140 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $140 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $140 | |||
| Q4 2023 | $140 | |||
| Q3 2023 | $140 | |||
| Q2 2023 | $140 | |||
| Q1 2023 | $140 | |||
| Q4 2022 | $140 | |||
| Q3 2022 | $140 | |||
| Q2 2022 | $140 | |||
| Q1 2022 | $140 | |||
| Q4 2021 | $140 | |||
| Q3 2021 | $110 | |||
| Q2 2021 | $110 | |||
| Q1 2021 | $110 | |||
| Q4 2020 | $110 | |||
| Q3 2020 | $110 | |||
| Q2 2020 | $110 | |||
| Q1 2020 | $110 | |||
| Q4 2019 | $110 | |||
| Q3 2019 | $110 | |||
| Q2 2019 | $110 | |||
| Q1 2019 | $110 | |||
| Q4 2018 | $110 | |||
| Q3 2018 | $110 | |||
| Q2 2018 | $110 | |||
| Q1 2018 | $110 | |||
| Q4 2017 | $110 | |||
| Q3 2017 | $103 | |||
| Q2 2017 | $103 | |||
| Q1 2017 | $103 | |||
| Q4 2016 | $103 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $140
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
5%
1%
Q1 2027
6%
1%
Q2 2027
6%
1%
Q3 2027
7%
1%
Fair price
$96.10
Comparable wines cost $49.36–$178 (80% range). At $140 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).