Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Mouton Rothschild Aile D'Argent Pauillac Blanc 2018
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$119 0.0%—84% below<1%
Chateau Mouton Rothschild Aile D'Argent Pauillac Blanc 2019
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$125 0.0%—82% below<1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2018
white · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2019
white · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Kosta Browne Chardonnay One Sixteen Russian River Valley 2020
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kosta Browne Chardonnay One Sixteen Russian River Valley 2021
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$29.73 $99.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2019
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$140 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kosta Browne One Sixteen Chardonnay 2022
white · 750 ml
$26.93 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$47.99 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019
white · Napa Valley · 1500 ml
$143 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$47.73 $160 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$97.43 $161 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$86.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2014
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$26.93 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$39.53 $76.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$110 $184 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$108 $180 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$43.03 $85.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2023
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$99.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$62.39 $104 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$61.79 $103 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$82.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$225 $750 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$100 $200 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Gerard Tremblay Vaudesir Chablis Grand Cru 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$46.13 $76.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2020
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$40.03 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—15% premium<1%
William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$25.73 $88.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2021
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$76.43 $102 Clearance 0.0%—16% premium<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2022
white · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$375 $750 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2022
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$63.03 $105 Clearance 0.0%—18% premium<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023
white · 750 ml
$46.79 $77.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine William Fevre Montee de Tonnerre Chablis 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$130 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$480 $800 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Heritiers Les Folatieres Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru Blanc 2019
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$120 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beaux Freres Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2020
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$25.43 $84.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$25.73 $85.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2023
white · 750 ml
$86.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$87.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$90.03 $180 Clearance 0.0%—31% premium<1%
Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Bougros Grand Cru 2018
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$24.73 $84.99 Clearance 0.0%—31% premium<1%
Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$37.73 $126 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Montelena Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$47.99 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—34% premium<1%
Louis Jadot Puligny Montrachet La Garenne 1er Cru Blanc 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$119 0.0%—35% premium<1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Le Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2021
white · 750 ml
$59.99 $99.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
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