Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Aile D'Argent Pauillac Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $119 | 0.0% | — | 84% below | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Aile D'Argent Pauillac Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | 82% below | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2018 white · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2019 white · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kosta Browne Chardonnay One Sixteen Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Chardonnay One Sixteen Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.73 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne One Sixteen Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 white · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $143 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.73 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $97.43 $161 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2014 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $39.53 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $110 $184 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $108 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $43.03 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $62.39 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $61.79 $103 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $225 $750 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Vaudesir Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.13 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $40.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% premium | <1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $88.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2021 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $76.43 $102 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2022 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $375 $750 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2022 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $63.03 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $46.79 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Montee de Tonnerre Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $480 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Heritiers Les Folatieres Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru Blanc 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2023 white · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $87.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $90.03 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Bougros Grand Cru 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.73 $126 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Puligny Montrachet La Garenne 1er Cru Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $119 | 0.0% | — | 35% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Le Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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