Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $105 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Boudots Nuits Saint Georges 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Hands Bella's Garden Shiraz Barossa Valley 2019 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $375 $750 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvigon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Family Wines Cabernet Sauvignon Meadowrock Vineyard Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.73 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2022 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $63.03 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $76.53 $266 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Croix Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $81.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Ruinart Blanc de Blancs Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 40.6% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Relentless Syrah Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.43 $96.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards GEO Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taittinger Nocturne Sec Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $40.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Armailhac Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Emiliana G e Red Blend Colchagua 2017 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.73 $179 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bouchard Pere et Fils Nuits Saint Georges Les Cailles 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $152 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot La Grande Dame Champagne Brut 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du val Hirondelle Vineyard Three Graces Stags Leap District 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $54.93 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lail Vineyards Blueprint Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $290 $300 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $46.79 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taittinger Comtes de Champagne Grand Cru Blanc de Blancs 2011 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $115 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Montee de Tonnerre Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Far Niente Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2018 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $275 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $110 $370 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dom Ruinart Champagne Rose 2007 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 407 Cabernet Sauvignon Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antinori Tignanello 2020 red · 750 ml | $106 $176 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Armailhac Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Bertagna Les Murgers Nuit Saint Georges 1er Cru 2017 red · 750 ml | $60.03 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dumol Wester Reach Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $48.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Two Hands Lily's Garden Shiraz McLaren Vale 2019 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Georges De Latour Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $155 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Monbousquet Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Charles Krug Family Reserve Generations Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Keenan Cabernet Sauvignon Spring Mountain District Napa Valley Reserve 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Collection Mount Veeder Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Grown 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $63.63 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | ▲ 36.4% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $480 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $275 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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