Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne Rose 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $68.99 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serego Alighieri Vaio Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2013 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $107 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Bricco Della Viole 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masi Costasera Amarone della Valpolicella Riserva 2016 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Allegrini Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | <1% |
| Castello dei Rampolla Sammarco Toscana Rosso 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $96.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $480 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Yquem Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $550 | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $800 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,350 | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $700 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $137 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Fattoria Pupille Saffredi Maremma Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Meadowrock Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Heitz Cellar Lot C 91 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $97.99 | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| PlumpJack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $115 $192 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Promontory Red Wine Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | 1608% premium | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Southing Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $69.03 $111 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon GEO Coombsville Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot La Grande Dame Champagne Brut 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arrowood Reserve Speciale Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2014 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $68.53 $91.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Conti Costanti Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $220 | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Voge Les Vieilles Vignes Cornas 2018 red · 750 ml | $63.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fuligni Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Antonio Taurasi Riserva 2008 red · 750 ml | $210 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Merlot Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Filippo Le Lucere Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Georges De Latour Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Caggio Ipsus Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $210 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 730% premium | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Benchland Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Vally 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $112 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | 127% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Damilano Barolo Cannubi 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Boudots Nuits Saint Georges 1er Cru 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $65.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 32% premium | <1% |
| Montes Folly Syrah Colchagua Valley 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | 394% premium | <1% |
| Muga Rioja Reserva Seleccione Gift Set 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | 228% premium | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Single Vineyard C C Ranch Vineyard 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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