Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvigon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 168% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 150% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 197% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 192% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Aile D'Argent Pauillac Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $119 | 0.0% | — | 84% below | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Aile D'Argent Pauillac Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | 82% below | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,050 $1,400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $480 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $700 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $510 $850 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | ▲ 10.0% | — | 54% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $600 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $40.73 $143 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.99 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.93 $121 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $250 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 139% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 133% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $700 | ▲ 16.7% | — | 217% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.99 $76.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 195% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 166% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 189% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 162% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $260 | — | — | 175% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $250 $450 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $144 $231 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $174 $290 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $280 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $350 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $275 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +36% if it rises |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $159 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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