Cellar Index
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Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2021

red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · 2021 vintage · tracked since Q3 2024

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$510 $850 Clearance
9 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +36% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -22%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$850 ($850–$850)<1%
Q2 2027$850 ($850–$850)<1%
Q1 2027$850 ($850–$850)<1%
Q4 2026$850 ($850–$850)<1%
Q3 2026$850$510
Q2 2026$850$510
Q1 2026$850$510
Q4 2025$850
Q3 2025$850
Q2 2025$850
Q1 2025$850
Q4 2024$850
Q3 2024$850

Chance the list price will differ from today's $850

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$688
Comparable wines cost $125–$853 (80% range). At $850 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2031–2056
Opens in 5 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Bordeaux

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2022Listed now$1,100▲ 10.0%2%
2021 (this page)Listed now$510 $850 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2020Listed now$900 0.0%<1%
2019Listed now$200 $700 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2018Listed now$480 $800 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2017Q4 2022$750 0.0%—
2015Q4 2022$900 0.0%—
2009Q1 2018$1,251 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).