Cellar Index
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Chateau Palmer Margaux 2019

red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · 2019 vintage · tracked since Q4 2022

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$200 $350 Clearance
16 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 1
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +36% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -24%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$350 ($350–$350)<1%
Q2 2027$350 ($350–$350)<1%
Q1 2027$350 ($350–$350)<1%
Q4 2026$350 ($350–$350)<1%
Q3 2026$350$200
Q2 2026$350$200
Q1 2026$350$200
Q4 2025$350$200
Q3 2025$350$200
Q2 2025$350$262
Q1 2025$350
Q4 2024$350
Q3 2024$350
Q2 2024$350
Q1 2024$350
Q4 2023$350
Q3 2023$350
Q2 2023$350
Q1 2023$350
Q4 2022$350

Chance the list price will differ from today's $350

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$382
Comparable wines cost $143–$1,189 (80% range). At $350 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2029–2054
Opens in 3 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Bordeaux

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2022Listed now$600 0.0%1%
2021Listed now$150 $500 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2020Listed now$150 $500 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2019 (this page)Listed now$200 $350 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2018Q4 2022$450——
2017Q4 2022$380 0.0%—
2016Q1 2021$400 0.0%—
2012Q4 2018$305 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).