Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beaulieu Vineyard Georges De Latour Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 118% premium | <1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Catena Zapata Alta Historic Rows Malbec Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Alion Tempranillo Ribera del Duero 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $43.73 $146 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 157% premium | <1% |
| Cade Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $77.99 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Reserve Viognier Dox Vinas Paso Robles 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $80.03 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $27.03 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $95.93 $320 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $105 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 406% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Figeac Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $162 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Figeac Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $105 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $380 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $106 $330 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 369% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien Magnum 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $168 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $95.93 $320 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $95.99 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 150% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $40.73 $143 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.99 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 166% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 162% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $174 $290 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $76.53 $151 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% premium | <1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $168 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Fourtet Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $75.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| Copain Les Voisins Syrah Yorkville Highlands 2017 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Craggy Range Sauvignon Blanc Te Muna Road Martinborough 2023 white · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Soul of a Lion Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Adelaida District 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 256% premium | <1% |
| Darioush Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine FL Les 4 Villages Chenin Blanc Coteaux du Layon 2019 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 124% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Pommard Les Rugiens 1er Cru 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $36.93 $128 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
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