Cellar Index
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Cade Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2019

red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · 2019 vintage · tracked since Q4 2023

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$77.99 $130 Clearance
12 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 1
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +14% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -26%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$130 ($130–$130)<1%
Q2 2027$130 ($130–$130)<1%
Q1 2027$130 ($130–$130)<1%
Q4 2026$130 ($130–$130)<1%
Q3 2026$130$77.99
Q2 2026$130$77.99
Q1 2026$130$110
Q4 2025$130
Q3 2025$130
Q2 2025$130
Q1 2025$130
Q4 2024$130
Q3 2024$130
Q2 2024$130
Q1 2024$130
Q4 2023$130

Chance the list price will differ from today's $130

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$146
Comparable wines cost $97.59–$323 (80% range). At $130 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2025–2039
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Napa Valley
Next vintage (2020) vs this one
2% chance priced higher
Typical change +2.5% (80% range -13.3% to 17.7%) · 36% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).