Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.73 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Southing Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $112 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Henriot Rose Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $57.93 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Rabaja 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trinite Estate Acaibo Red Wine Sonoma County 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.73 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Clos de Folatieres Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru 2017 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cayuse Vineyards Syrah Cailloux Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $39.53 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Latour Giraud Cuvee Carmen Pommard 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $38.53 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Caillerets Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Leonardini Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $110 $184 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Finca Piedra Infinita Malbec Paraje Altamira 2017 red · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Marquis de Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $90.53 $303 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Single Vineyard Quarry Vineyard 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Enchanted Path Shiraz Cabernet Sauvignon Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $195 $260 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $33.53 $112 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $108 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Meursault Charmes 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $40.43 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Ovello 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $23.43 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Single Vineyard Quarry Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $60.03 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montefico 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Bear Track Cabernet Sauvignon Yountville Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery State Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Yountville Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montestefano 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.73 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Phelps Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kosta Browne Sonoma Coast Pinot Noir 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Charmes Dessus Meursault 1er Cru Premier Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Rene Leclerc Gevrey Chambertin Lavaux Saint Jacques 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $30.43 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $700 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chimney Rock Elevage Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Abbaye de Morgeot Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $131 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Ten Degrees Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $43.03 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Roederer Collection 242 Champagne Multi Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 17% typically +7% if it rises |
| Lanson Le Vintage Champagne 2012 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Les Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $67.43 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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