Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $800 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 $1,000 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $213 $710 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Larcis Ducasse Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | 170% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Lascombes Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $111 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $250 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.43 $122 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien Magnum 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $168 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $95.93 $320 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $95.99 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $450 | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $127 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | 78% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | 73% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $151 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.43 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $220 | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,350 | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $700 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $500 $900 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $192 $640 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,000 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Monbousquet Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 55% below | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.99 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $137 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
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