Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $149 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silenus Merlot Oak Knoll District 2017 red · 750 ml | $12.73 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Chardonnay Los Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Urbans Hof Mehringer Alte Reben Riesling Mosel 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St. Urbans Hof Ockfener Bockstein Kabinett 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taken Red Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Rosso 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Testarossa Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tre Monti Vitalba Albana in Anfora Emilia Romagana 2020 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Two Hands Bella's Garden Shiraz Barossa Valley 2019 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Hands Lily's Garden Shiraz McLaren Vale 2019 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valo Atemporal Red Blend Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vidal Fleury Vacqueyras 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles Dauny Caillottes Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Aida Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $83.93 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 132% premium | <1% |
| Warre's Vinhas Velhas Vintage Porto 350th Anniversay Edition 2020 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $56.93 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 361% premium | <1% |
| 10,000 Hours Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 10000 Hours Red Mountain Red Blend 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Finca Altamira Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Finca Bella Vista Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Finca Mirador Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 78% premium | <1% |
| Adaptation Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Altesino Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% below | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Reserve Rutherford Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Belles Soeurs Pinot Noir Ribon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $59.73 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Belles Soeurs Pinot Noir Ribon Ridge Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $31.93 $116 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 47% premium | <1% |
| Bonterra The Butler Butler Ranch Vineyard Mendocino County 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra The McNab McNab Ranch Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Mendocino County 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bootleg Prequel Red Wine Sonoma County 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bruno by Karthauserhof Riesling Auslese 2018 white · 750 ml | $16.93 $58.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Cade Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Mt Harlan Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casanova di Neri Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Neive Bartbaresco Albesani Santo Stefano 2019 red · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chappellet Pritchard Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $178 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 334% premium | <1% |
| Charles Krug Family Reserve Generations Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.83 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Dauzac Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Figeac Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $174 $324 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 82% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $60.03 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $201 $336 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $200 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,401–2,450 of 3,189← PreviousNext →