Cellar Index
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Taken Red Napa Valley 2019

red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · 2019 vintage · tracked since Q4 2022

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance
16 quarters on record · 1 list-price change · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +7% · 0% chance of a cut (typically -20%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$29.99 ($29.99–$29.99)<1%
Q2 2027$29.99 ($29.99–$29.99)<1%
Q1 2027$29.99 ($29.99–$29.99)<1%
Q4 2026$29.99 ($29.99–$29.99)<1%
Q3 2026$29.99$8.93
Q2 2026$29.99$8.93
Q1 2026$29.99$8.93
Q4 2025$29.99$17.73
Q3 2025$29.99
Q2 2025$29.99
Q1 2025$29.99
Q4 2024$29.99
Q3 2024$29.99
Q2 2024$34.99
Q1 2024$34.99
Q4 2023$34.99
Q3 2023$34.99
Q2 2023$34.99
Q1 2023$34.99
Q4 2022$34.99

Chance the list price will differ from today's $29.99

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$44.07
Comparable wines cost $19.66–$169 (80% range). At $29.99 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2022–2031
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for premium red wine from Napa Valley
Next vintage (2020) vs this one
40% chance priced higher
Typical change -0.1% (80% range -8.2% to 16.5%) · 9% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2019 (this page)Listed now$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2018Q1 2023$34.99 0.0%—
2016Q1 2022$34.99 0.0%—
2014Q2 2019$34.99 0.0%—
2013Q2 2018$27.99 $34.99 Sale 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).